Shareholder Activism Flash Report: May 2020
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Key observations from the report include:
Increased activity in Japan has driven an uptick in global activism
- May saw an increase in new campaigns compared to March and April; 16 campaigns and $3.3bn of capital deployed
- May's campaign initiations were double April’s, while capital deployed in May was 159% higher than in March
- However, May activity was still below the pre-COVID monthly average for the six-month period ended in February 2020 with respect to both campaigns initiated (~19) and capital deployed (~$4.6bn)
- Five campaigns in Japan continued the recent trend of heightened APAC activity
- In 2020 YTD, 16 campaigns initiated in Japan, compared with an average of ~6 over the same period in 2017 – 2019
- Three of the campaigns initiated in Japan in May had a capital return thesis, compared with only one capital return-oriented campaign initiated in the rest of the world in 2020 YTD
Uncommon Activists in Europe
- In 2020 YTD, European activism saw broadened sources of agitation as vocalism diversifies across the activism landscape
- 80% of campaigns were initiated by occasional activists or institutional and other investors, compared with only 50% of campaigns over the same period in 2019
Activists are holding European management and boards accountable
- Board and/or management removal at European companies is becoming a more prominent demand by activists
- 50% of Q2 campaigns involved attacks against Boards or management teams
- COVID crisis has not deterred activists in situations where they believe management is jeopardizing the future of the company
The aperture of activism is widening
- Recent campaigns by private equity (e.g., KKR / Dave & Busters) show the continued blurring of formerly-defined investment lines
Board settlement activity is down
- May saw a downturn in settlements for Board seats, with only three campaigns settling for a total of six dissident Board seats relative to seven settlements for 11 Board seats in April
- In 2020 YTD, 31 settlements have resulted in 60 Board seats versus 37 and 74 in the prior-year period, respectively
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